Joe Biden has taken the damned-if-he-does and damned-if-he-doesn’t decision to pull US troops out of Afghanistan after two decades. Critics predict civil war may erupt, lead to the collapse of the Kabul government and the struggling army; and al-Qaeda and other terrorist groups could re-establish havens within two years, using them as launch pads to attack the US. It will almost certainly be a disaster for the country’s 39 million people — in particular, its women, wiping out any progress made at the cost of more than 2,000 American lives and hundreds of billions of dollars.
Afghanistan has had a turbulent history as far back as the eye can see becoming independent in 1919 but going through convulsions since 1979, first from the ill-judged and unsuccessful Soviet-Afghan War against the mujahadeen, then a civil war and from 2001 the American invasion after Al Quaeda’s 9/11 attack, with Bin Laden hiding in the mountains. Having toppled the Islamic fundamentalist Taliban regime there the US found, as in Vietnam, that starting was easier than finishing.
The Afghanistan Independence chart, 19 August 1919 12 am Kabul, has a rebellious, uncompromising Uranus opposition Saturn as well as a Leo Sun squaring onto a hidden 12th house Taurus Moon conjunct the South Node; with a stressed and explosive Uranus inconjunct Mars. The Moon in the 12th square Uranus MC and Saturn Sun relegates the feminine to an inferior place.
What is significant is how sensitive this chart is to influences which hard aspect the Fixed T square of Sun, Uranus, Saturn, Moon, Node. The Soviet War started with tr Uranus in Scorpio squaring the Sun and then moving round the other planets. The USA 2001 invasion occurred when tr Uranus was conjunct the Solar Arc North Node and Solar Arc Saturn was moving to square the Afghan Sun; and the Solar Arc Midheaven in Taurus was also colliding with the same points. In 2001 as well there was the war-like, tough-conditions tr Saturn in Gemini opposition tr Pluto, which was moving to conjunct the Afghan Ascendant in 2022.
Tr Uranus will start to shake up the Afghan Fixed T Square from 2023 to 2027; with major high-risk stresses coming from early 2022 through 2023 as tr Pluto opposes the Afghan Mars. So it does not look settled ahead, far from it.
The Invasion chart, 7 October 2001 4.25 pm Kabul, is predominantly an Air chart with only one Earth sign – Mars in Capricorn – hidden away in the financial 8th. Strong on hopes and theories but not practical. The gung-ho Mars opposition Jupiter is also significant since it suggests an attempt to put a cosmetic often sanctimonious veneer on an aggressive act.
At the moment the Solar Arc Mars is conjunct the Invasion Neptune for a sense of failure which may increase over the next two or three years as the Solar Arc Sun moves to square the Neptune – the fear is, like Iraq, that having pulled out they may have to go back in if the situation deteriorates too much.